Brian Stryker, a Democratic pollster, didn’t work for Terry McAuliffe’s campaign in the Virginia governor’s race. But Mr. McAuliffe’s narrow defeat in a liberal-leaning state alarmed him and most every Democratic political professional. That defeat also prompted a centrist group, Third Way, to have Mr. Stryker convene focus groups to […] Read more »
A Tale of Two Midwestern Gerrymanders: Illinois and Ohio
Key Points• Gerrymanders by Democrats in Illinois and Republicans in Ohio seek to build upon their dominance of their respective states.• The Ohio Supreme Court could intervene against the GOP gerrymander there, which perhaps helps explain why Republicans were not as aggressive as they could have been, even though Republicans […] Read more »
One of four Texans is unwilling or unlikely to get the COVID-19 vaccine
Nearly one out of four Texans is unwilling or unlikely to get the COVID-19 vaccine, according to a new poll from The Dallas Morning News and the University of Texas at Tyler. And among parents, more than one-third are unwilling or unlikely to have their children get vaccinated, according to […] Read more »
Democrats can’t blame ‘huge bummer’ in Virginia on turnout
It seems like everybody has a theory for Glenn Youngkin’s big win in Virginia last week. Why and how did he win? Who deserves the credit or the blame for the Democrats’ losses? Many of the explanations, whether from politicians, cable news pundits, consultants or columnists, seem to reflect their […] Read more »
Election 2021 aftermath: How big was that swing?
A few brave souls have tried to argue that last Tuesday was a good night for Democrats. That’s a very difficult assertion to defend. But take the analysis much deeper and you’ll find evidence for a variety of contradictory propositions in the data from Virginia. CONTINUED Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), […] Read more »
The fight for the political mainstream is on
Popular New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu’s decision not to run for the Senate, even in light of his party’s dominant showing in last week’s elections, should serve as a wake-up call to overly exuberant Republicans. The battle for the political mainstream—and control of the Senate—is still up for grabs despite […] Read more »