The 2022 election defied conventional wisdom and historical trends. In a typical midterm election year with one-party control of the presidency, House and Senate, the incumbent party would expect major losses. Instead, Democrats re-elected every incumbent senator and expanded their Senate majority by a seat, won the overwhelming majority of […] Read more »
More green investment hasn’t softened red resistance on climate
Even as billions of dollars in new clean energy investments surge into Republican leaning communities around the country, state and federal GOP officials are hardening their resistance to efforts to reduce the nation’s reliance on fossil fuels. That stark contrast has dashed a central hope and expectation among environmentalists: the […] Read more »
How to read a poll
As readers of this blog know, I am not wild about public polls – they tend to focus people on the “horse race” at the expense of other areas of the campaign and way too often their read of the horse race or of changes in it are misleading. Nonetheless, […] Read more »
The enormous numbers behind DeSantis’ fight with Disney
In a world where politicians often fight to win big employers and keep them happy, it’s both unique and odd for a sitting Republican governor to go to war with a business crucial to his state’s economic well-being … on the eve of a potential presidential campaign. The feud between […] Read more »
The Tennessee Expulsions Are Just the Beginning
The red-state drive to reverse the rights revolution of the past six decades continues to intensify, triggering confrontations involving every level of government. In rapid succession, Republican-controlled states are applying unprecedented tactics to shift social policy sharply to the right, not only within their borders but across the nation. … […] Read more »
Gun debate is ‘another issue’ where the GOP may be ‘out of step with public’
The GOP’s response to gun violence shows how “out of step with public opinion” the party is as stricter gun reform measures are implemented across the states, Chuck Todd says on Meet the Press NOW. Meet the Press NOW The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll […] Read more »