Democratic U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona marches in a Fourth of July parade in Arizona on July 4, 2022. Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images Gina Woodall, Arizona State University Two years after the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump’s resentment over losing continues to energize his supporters in […] Read more »
Florida: Gov. DeSantis leads former Gov. Crist 50%-47%; Sen. Rubio has a 49%-47% lead over Cong. Demings
AARP Florida released key findings from a 2022 election survey that shows candidates should pay close attention to Floridians age 50 and older, with issues such as inflation, Social Security and Medicare, and taxes top of mind for these voters. Florida residents 50+ are a crucial voting bloc, consistently showing […] Read more »
Michigan: Gov. Whitmer’s lead grows as fall campaign begins
Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s lead over Republican Tudor Dixon has expanded to 13 percentage points with two months remaining before Election Day, according to a new poll from The Detroit News and WDIV-TV (Channel 4). The statewide survey of 600 likely voters in the battleground state found that 48% supported […] Read more »
Ron DeSantis Is a Test Case
The fact that Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, is favored to win re-election is a clear warning to those worried about declining support for democratic institutions and values in the United States. The prospect of DeSantis’s re-election in November suggests that under certain circumstances the American electorate will tolerate, […] Read more »
2022’s (Potential) Split Ticket States
Key Points• Over the past several midterms, the number of states splitting their ticket between Senate and gubernatorial races has gone down.• Still, using more recent history as a guide, it seems likely that at least a few states will cross over.• The states that split their ticket in midterms […] Read more »
California: Newsom holds big lead in re-election bid for governor
The latest Berkeley IGS Poll finds Governor Gavin Newsom holding a commanding lead in his fall re-election bid against Republican challenger, state Senator Brian Dahle. The poll finds Newsom currently leading by 27 points among the state’s registered voters and 24 points among voters considered most likely to vote in […] Read more »