Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue Wave More Likely: The Evidence

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy that could shrink the enthusiasm advantage and midterm vote for Democrats. But they are wrong about the political trends, the economy, and what motivates Democrats. They […] Read more »

How Conservatives Bet Big on Wisconsin and Won

The Fall of Wisconsin: The Conservative Conquest of a Progressive Bastion and the Future of American Politics By Dan Kaufman Hardcore conservatives adore infrastructure, and they’re phenomenally good at building it. This isn’t to say they’re necessarily committed to constructing roads and bridges and dams; it’s the infrastructure of their own […] Read more »

The Democratic Party Hits a Fork in the Road

… Almost halfway through Donald Trump’s tempestuous first term, Democrats are divided between two visions of how they can dislodge the Republican dominance of Washington and most state governments. One camp believes the party’s best chance will come from targeting mostly white, Republican-leaning voters who are recoiling from Trump on […] Read more »

Poll of Puerto Ricans in Florida has good news for Dems — and for Gov. Scott

A public opinion poll released Saturday of Puerto Ricans living in Florida reveals reasons for Democrats and Republicans to be relieved — and worried. … An estimated 1.2 million Puerto Ricans now live in Florida, a population that rivals the number of Cubans, who have historically been enormously influential in […] Read more »