Democratic Embrace of Diverse Candidates Collides With Barbed Politics of Trump Era

Democratic nominees for governor include three African-Americans, two of them in the old Confederacy, a prospect that not long ago would have been unthinkable. Record numbers of women are competing in congressional races. Elsewhere, Muslims, gays, lesbians and transgender people will be on the ballot for high-profile offices. That diverse […] Read more »

What Andrew Gillum vs Ron DeSantis in Florida will tell us about 2020

The governor’s race in Florida not only says a lot about where the Democratic and Republican parties are today but could also tell us where they are headed in the future. Republican Ron DeSantis is the Donald Trump of the 2018 Florida gubernatorial campaign. He was backed by Trump in […] Read more »

Center for Politics, Ipsos Public Affairs Release New Midterm Election Forecasting Tools

The University of Virginia Center for Politics and Ipsos today launched the UVA Center for Politics-Ipsos Political Atlas. The new site combines Sabato’s Crystal Ball race ratings for every House, Senate, and gubernatorial race; Ipsos’ poll-based modeling; and Ipsos’ tracking of social media trends. CONT. U. of Virginia Center for […] Read more »

‘It Is the Era of Trump’: How the President Is Remaking the Republican Party

… After more than two decades of tension within the GOP between a restive base and its traditional establishment, Trumpism, the archetypal grass-roots movement, is winning. With the 2018 primaries about to end, all but two of the 37 Republicans Mr. Trump has endorsed for House, Senate and governor during […] Read more »

Trump’s Midwest is a gubernatorial battleground in 2018

President Trump’s Midwest is the key gubernatorial battleground in 2018. The swath of states that secured the president’s electoral college victory in 2016 is now home to a series of statehouse contests that could alter the balance of power in a region of the country long crucial to presidential elections. […] Read more »