As Texas Democrats attempt to win a major statewide contest for the first time in almost three decades, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds Democrat Beto O’Rourke trailing Republican Sen. Ted Cruz by just four percentage points. CONT. Carrie Dann, NBC News Read more »
Democrat leads expensive race for Illinois governor
In the billionaire-versus-multimillionaire contest for Illinois governor, Democratic challenger J.B. Pritzker leads incumbent Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner by 16 points, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
2018 candidate diversity goes beyond gender
Throughout the 2018’s primaries, the “year of the woman” has been cited as a dominant recurring theme, but as summer winds down, another storyline is emerging. The 2018 election may bring the most diverse set of candidates in U.S. political history — and not just racial diversity, but also a […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Trump v. Nixon for Lowest Approval Rating
In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, a look at the midterm primary results in Minnesota and Wisconsin. How did the polls help inform in the days and weeks leading up to these primaries? Why does timing matter? We have the answers. Plus, he’s baaack! Harry Enten, Senior Writer and […] Read more »
The Upper Midwest swung to Trump in 2016. It may swing back to the Democrats in 2018
Donald Trump’s success in the Upper Midwest — particularly his victories in Michigan and Wisconsin — were pivotal to his success in the 2016 presidential election. His 1.5-point loss in Minnesota was the closest a Republican presidential nominee has come to winning the state since Ronald Reagan lost the state […] Read more »
How the Kasich dilemma is paralyzing Trump’s Republican critics
Ohio Gov. John Kasich was among the big winners when Republican Troy Balderson apparently survived last week’s special election for a US House seat centered on Columbus. Kasich was also among the biggest losers. In the process, he encapsulated the puzzle facing the small band of Republicans consistently critical of […] Read more »