More and more Americans vote for the same party up and down the ballot these days. But some people still split their tickets. Who? Where? Well, we can use our forecast data to try to answer that. There are 22 states holding multiple statewide races this year — meaning a […] Read more »
USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: Newsom holds large lead in California governor’s race
Three weeks before Californians elect a new governor, Democratic candidate Gavin Newsom holds a commanding 23-point lead over Republican challenger John Cox, 54-31 with 15 percent still making up their mind, according to a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll conducted online September 17 – October 14. CONT. USC Dornsife Read more »
Odds Are, Your Next Governor Will Be A Democrat
In the midterm elections for the House and Senate, Democrats are very likely to win the majority of votes, but they face structural barriers to winning the majority of seats. … In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by almost 3 million votes but lost the […] Read more »
Oregon Governor: A Blue State Lands in Toss Up
Oregon is a reliably blue state, at least when it comes to races for President, Governor and the U.S. Senate. It’s surprising then that in a year in which the political landscape favors Democrats, the party is sweating the Governor’s race as Democratic Gov. Kate Brown seeks to win a […] Read more »
CNN poll: Cruz leads O’Rourke with three weeks to go
Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz appears well-positioned for re-election over his Democratic challenger Rep. Beto O’Rourke, topping him 52% to 45% among likely voters, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Here’s what should excite and depress Democrats so far in 2018
For two years Democrats have raged over Donald Trump’s presidency, quarreled among themselves over the best strategy for responding to it, and above all, counted the days until next month’s midterm election. The biggest political questions facing Democrats, needless to say, all remain to be decided on election night. But […] Read more »