Close observers of American politics seem to live in a world of constant suspense and frequent unforeseen plot twists, but the state of public opinion out in the country at large is in fact remarkably stable these days. … Stability isn’t the same thing as certainty, however, and the lack […] Read more »
Ted Cruz leads Beto O’Rourke by 6 in Texas Senate race, UT/TT poll finds
Republican Ted Cruz leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke 51 percent to 45 percent in the Texas race for the U.S. Senate, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Libertarian Neal Dikeman was the choice of 2 percent of likely voters and another 2 percent said they would vote for […] Read more »
The Coming Clashes Between Democrats and Republicans
Win or lose, the Democratic Party has crossed a threshold in the 2018 election, pointing it toward even more explosive conflict with a Republican Party that Donald Trump is recasting around white racial anxiety. For the first time, white men do not constitute a majority of Democratic candidates in races […] Read more »
A dozen days to go: Ratings changes in gubernatorial, House races
The battles for the state governorships are getting more volatile as Election Day nears. We are moving three races, Kansas, Oregon, and South Dakota, to Toss-up. Republican odds of holding the Senate are as good as ever. The playing field continues to expand in the House. CONT. Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s […] Read more »
Georgia: Abrams and Kemp virtually tied in governor’s race
The closely watched governor’s race in Georgia is essentially tied, with a December runoff appearing possible if neither candidate surpasses 50 percent in the November contest, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll. CONT. Carrie Dann, NBC News Read more »
CNN Poll: Democrats up in Florida with two weeks to go
As the final two weeks of campaigning begin, Democrats hold an edge in both the gubernatorial and Senate contests in the key state of Florida, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Democratic nominee Andrew Gillum holds a wide 12-point edge over his Republican opponent Rep. Ron DeSantis […] Read more »