U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock (47%) leads his Republican challenger Herschel Walker (42%) by five percentage points among Georgia registered voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. However, Warnock’s lead narrows among registered voters who say they definitely plan to vote. In Georgia’s gubernatorial contest Republican incumbent […] Read more »
These five states may send a powerful message about 2024. But will Republicans hear it?
This November, the states that decided the last presidential race may send a powerful signal about the next one. President Joe Biden assembled his winning Electoral College majority in 2020 by flipping five states that had supported Donald Trump four years earlier: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin across the Rust Belt […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Georgia’s Senate and governor races are tight
After a heated primary season, the stage for the general election is set in races for U.S. Senate and governor in Georgia, and it looks like another nail-biter, according to a new Fox News survey of registered voters. The U.S. Senate race in Georgia is key for determining control of […] Read more »
This may be Democrats’ only chance to blunt a red wave in November
To avoid the worst-case scenario in November, Democrats must defy one of the most powerful trends shaping modern congressional elections. Recent polls have provided them a glimmer of optimism that they might do just that. That trend is the tightening correlation between voters’ attitudes toward a president and their support […] Read more »
What the Polls Can (And Can’t) Tell Us
For the last couple of years, I’ve stressed that when it comes to campaign polling, it’s more important to focus on the vote share each candidate is getting than it is to obsess about the margin that separates the two candidates. The fact that a candidate is ‘ahead’ of another […] Read more »
The ‘Big Lie’ wasn’t all that Georgia Republicans rejected last week
Georgia Republicans last week rejected two malignant trends within their party — one less conspicuous, but no less important, than the other. Best-known is the “Big Lie” about the 2020 election. By renominating Gov. Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, the Peach State GOP rejected former President Donald […] Read more »