Politicians often get criticized for raising their finger in the wind, and following the polls to determine what position they should take on an issue. But increasingly, the most prominent elected officials are leading with their emotions, following the passions of their base before even getting a chance to examine […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Three: The Republicans’ Southern Prizes
Key Points• Democrats tried but failed to get a seat at the redistricting table in four large Southern states in the 2018 and 2020 cycles: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas.• The consequences for redistricting are vitally important. It’s easy to imagine Republicans squeezing a half-dozen extra seats out of […] Read more »
Demographics were expected to push Florida left. Instead, they nudged it to the right.
Democrats are gaining ground in growing, urbanizing, racially diverse states. … But there’s an important exception to this pattern: Florida. Florida is home to expanding metros such as Miami, Tampa, Orlando and Jacksonville. Almost half of Floridians are people of color, and the state’s population is increasing. Yet Florida voted […] Read more »
On Vaccine Mandates, the G.O.P. Isn’t on Its Own Anymore
Businesses are now allowed to require their employees to be vaccinated, so long as they abide by federal regulations for employer mandates, according to guidelines released late last week by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission. This was not a political announcement. Still, it can’t help but sharpen a line in […] Read more »
Post-Mortem On KFF 2020 Election Polling
In early fall 2020, KFF in collaboration with the Cook Political Report conducted the Sun Belt Voices Project which included interviews with a random sample of 3,479 registered voters in three Sun Belt states (1,298 in Arizona, 1,009 in Florida, and 1,172 in North Carolina). … Now, more than nine […] Read more »
The numbers show Ron DeSantis’ stock is rising
… Right now, no Republican is doing a better job of setting himself up as Trump’s successor than Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. If Trump decides not to run in 2024, DeSantis has as good if not better chance of being the party’s nominee as anyone. Just a few months ago, […] Read more »