In South Carolina, Marco Rubio barely eclipsed Ted Cruz for second place, beating him by less than two-tenths of a percentage point with almost all votes tallied. The result confirms a late surge in polling for Rubio, and the network exit poll shows it was fueled by the upper-class pragmatists […] Read more »
Why Clinton, Not Sanders, Probably Won the Hispanic Vote in Nevada
One of Saturday’s biggest election surprises was the entrance and exit polling measuring Hispanic voters in the Nevada caucus. It found that Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton by eight percentage points among Hispanic voters, overturning months of conventional wisdom about Mrs. Clinton’s strength among nonwhites. But there are a lot […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Makes Progress, But Hillary Clinton Remains The Favorite
The Democratic contest moved to a not-totally-white contest, and Hillary Clinton had her best showing yet. She won the Nevada caucuses by over 5 percentage points, with an electorate that was only 59 percent white. And while there are still some questions about how Latinos voted, Clinton can claim tremendous […] Read more »
Outsider Status Lifts Trump in SC; Clinton Gets an Obama Boost in NV
Demand for an outsider and vast support for a ban on Muslims entering the country helped Donald Trump to victory in the South Carolina Republican primary. He was pulled back, all the same, by values voters and strong conservatives – setting the stage for epic battles ahead. Hillary Clinton, for […] Read more »
South Carolina GOP Primary Exit Poll Analysis
Preliminary exit poll results from the South Carolina GOP primary have been released. Record turnout by conservatives and evangelicals is helping to shape the South Carolina Republican primary, along with vast support for Donald Trump’s stance on limiting the ability of Muslims to enter the country and substantial backing for […] Read more »
Nevada Entrance Poll Results: How Clinton Won
Hillary Clinton eked out a tight win in Nevada by relying on key groups that supported her in prior contests – particularly women and older voters. Clinton took 71 percent of the vote among caucus-goers age 65 and older, and 55 percent of female voters. She also won six-in-10 voters […] Read more »