The Clinton campaign had one of its polling firms that specializes in the Latino vote assess the Nevada caucus results in an effort to rebut the claim by Senator Bernie Sanders that, though he lost overall, he won among Hispanics, a demographic that is crucial to the success of both […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s Curiously Strong Support Among Evangelicals
So far, evangelical voters in three states have weighed in on their preference in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. In both Iowa and New Hampshire, evangelical voters were less likely than non-evangelical voters to support Donald Trump — by 7 and 11 points, respectively. But South Carolina’s primary […] Read more »
The New Shape of the Republican Race
After his solid, broadly based victories in New Hampshire and South Carolina, Donald Trump now holds a commanding position in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. But Trump still faces two “known unknowns,” to borrow the memorable phrase from former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, an architect of the Iraq […] Read more »
Core Groups Hold Steady for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
Donald J. Trump won the South Carolina Republican primary with a strong showing among his core supporters — men, moderate conservatives, those without college degrees and older voters. … Hillary Clinton patched together a winning coalition in the Nevada caucuses of women, older voters, African-Americans, college graduates and members of […] Read more »
What We Learned From Nevada and South Carolina
1) Hillary firewall holds; Bernie hits his ceiling Despite a last-minute surge of “Bern-mentum” and weakening support among Latinos, Hillary Clinton put up a strong showing at the Nevada caucuses on Saturday thanks in part to strong support from African-Americans and older voters. … 2) Trump wins big and is […] Read more »
Ted Cruz has an evangelical problem
Ted Cruz has an increasingly serious demographic problem. More than 8 of 10 Cruz supporters in South Carolina considered themselves to be evangelical Christians, according to preliminary exit polls. CONT. Kevin Schaul & Kevin Uhrmacher, Washington Post Read more »