Just as in 2008, Tuesday’s New Hampshire’s primary created an “a-ha moment,” illuminating the contours of each Democratic candidate’s coalition. It’s becoming increasingly apparent that Hillary Clinton is relying on a coalition that looks almost the opposite of the one she assembled in 2008. Eight years ago, she prevailed among […] Read more »
New Hampshire Takeaways: Trust, Experience and Message Count
More than half a million voters cast ballots in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, rewarding Donald J. Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with resounding victories, and sending some candidates home to rethink their campaigns. But the results also tell much about the electorate and the challenges the […] Read more »
Trump’s Two Victories in New Hampshire
Donald Trump won twice in New Hampshire last night: once because he transcended many of the Republican Party’s historic divides, and a second time because the voters most resistant to him remained fragmented. With his commanding New Hampshire win, Trump demonstrated again that his maverick appeal has replaced many of […] Read more »
Exit Polls Don’t Back Rubio’s Claim That Debate Hurt Him
Given continued coverage of Marco Rubio’s claim that his poor performance in Saturday’s debate caused his fifth-place finish in the New Hampshire Republican primary, we wanted to put some data behind the point -– that the exit poll just doesn’t back him up. We’ve got two ways to look at […] Read more »
It Gets Harder From Here For Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders won and won big here on Tuesday. He earned 60 percent of the vote in New Hampshire and won nearly every town and city in the state. … It would be tempting to say that Sanders won here only because of latte-drinking liberal New Englanders, but he won […] Read more »
Why did Hillary Clinton lose big in New Hampshire?
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders crushed rival Hillary Clinton during Tuesday night’s Democratic primary contest in New Hampshire, winning with a 22-point margin over the former secretary of state. According to exit polls, the major deciding factor among Granite State voters was the presidential contenders’ level of trustworthiness. … Among those […] Read more »