Many Americans believe politics has entered into the nation’s vote-counting process, with potentially big ramifications for the next election: they think that it is at least somewhat likely that some state or county officials will refuse to certify election results because of political reasons. And politics has surely entered the […] Read more »
Ron DeSantis Is a Test Case
The fact that Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, is favored to win re-election is a clear warning to those worried about declining support for democratic institutions and values in the United States. The prospect of DeSantis’s re-election in November suggests that under certain circumstances the American electorate will tolerate, […] Read more »
From a Republican ‘tsunami’ to a ‘puddle’: Why the forecast for November is changing
It was a referendum. Now it’s a choice. For political professionals in both parties, that’s the capsule explanation for why the Democratic position in the midterm elections appears to have improved so much since summer began. When the election looked to be primarily a referendum on the performance of the […] Read more »
Republican voters continue to view Trump as the party’s leader
Less than three months from the midterm elections, a new USA Today/Ipsos poll finds that former President Trump continues to be seen as the head of the Republican party, as a majority of Republican voters believe that he can win the next presidential election and should be the party’s nominee […] Read more »
What do voters want in 2024? Democrats want a unifier, Republicans want a fighter
It’s not just that Democratic and Republican voters disagree about who should be the next president. A new USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll finds they also have different visions of the crucial characteristics to do the job. Democratic voters say they want most of all a unifier who will focus on bringing […] Read more »
Smoking weed is now more popular than smoking tobacco
“It’s the economy, stupid,” Democratic operative James Carville once famously noted. Usually, that assertion holds when it comes to elections. But as we have seen from the changing political tides since Roe v. Wade was overturned, sometimes the economy takes a back seat to social issues. Abortion, though, won’t be […] Read more »