California Governor Gavin Newsom is confronting the toughest challenge Democrats may face in next year’s midterm election—and guiding his party toward a possible solution as the Republican-driven recall against him enters its final days. One key reason the president’s party historically fares so poorly in midterm elections is that its […] Read more »
How Educational Differences Are Widening America’s Political Rift
The front lines of America’s cultural clashes have shifted in recent years. A vigorous wave of progressive activism has helped push the country’s culture to the left, inspiring a conservative backlash against everything from “critical race theory” to the supposed cancellation of Dr. Seuss. These skirmishes may be different in […] Read more »
Are the Kids Alright?
… Today, I want to shift the focus a bit. We typically look at public opinion from the adult’s perspective, or, in technical parlance, those Americans age 18 and above. Instead, let’s spend some time looking at how American teenagers (14-18) feel about the present state of affairs. They are […] Read more »
How Donald Trump Turned Off Swing Voters in 2020
Key Points• The number of swing voters — those who change their minds between presidential elections — has been declining over time.• However, there are still some swing voters, and they can be decisive in the nation’s highly competitive presidential elections.• Swing voters helped Joe Biden win the White House, […] Read more »
Attitudes on Jan. 6 Capitol attack settle in along familiar partisan lines
A majority of Americans are concerned about the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, believe it was an effort to overturn the 2020 presidential election results and think it was an act of terrorism, according to new results from the latest NBC News poll. But attitudes about the attack […] Read more »
How the political environment is moving toward Republicans
Republicans gained a seat in the Connecticut state Senate this week. They won a special election in a district that President Joe Biden won by more than 20 points in 2020. Any individual special election such as this one comes with its caveats, but the trend in special state elections […] Read more »