… There are a lot of complex analyses of the 2016 election floating around. My own theory is quite straightforward: If Hillary Clinton is the nominee — and she remains a heavy favorite over Bernie Sanders — her fate largely rests with Republican voters’ decisions over the next few months. […] Read more »
More Republicans See Gain in Anti-Immigration Stance
Three years ago, high-level Republicans declared that after losing the popular vote in five of the past six elections, the party needed to appeal more to Hispanics to win the presidency. Immigration was a threshold issue. … Today, however, this notion has been turned upside down. … More Republican politicians, […] Read more »
Two Versions of America Emerge in the Presidential Campaign
The cultural and demographic gulf between the Republican and Democratic electoral coalitions can now be measured not just in space, but time. Today, the two parties represent not only different sections of the country, but also, in effect, different editions of the country. Along many key measures, the Republican coalition […] Read more »
Millennials Make Up Almost Half of Latino Eligible Voters in 2016
Hispanic millennials will account for nearly half (44%) of the record 27.3 million Hispanic eligible voters projected for 2016—a share greater than any other racial or ethnic group of voters, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data. The median age among the nation’s 35 […] Read more »
Republicans’ White, Working-Class Trap: A Growing Reliance
Plenty of politicos and pundits have rationalized Donald Trump’s political ascent as the result of his enormous popularity among white, working-class voters. … In fact, the main reason Trump is leading national polls is because he dominates the white, non-college world. So, that got us thinking — how powerful are […] Read more »
Whatever Happened to Latino Political Power?
… As their population in the United States surged from 35 million in 2000 to nearly 57 million, Latinos became the subjects of a feel-good political story that bathed a marginalized minority in the glow of demographic triumphalism. Acting as a cohesive political force, Latinos were supposed to power Democratic […] Read more »