… There is this perception that New Hampshire, which Bernie Sanders won Tuesday, is too white and too close to Sanders’s home state of Vermont for Clinton to win. After New Hampshire, though, the states get significantly more diverse; basically every one of the next couple dozen states to vote […] Read more »
Three Lanes to the Finish of the Republican Race
The Republican presidential race was in the process of consolidating when it hit a jarring speed bump in a debate on Saturday night. After last week’s Iowa caucus, a growing number of Republican strategists had expressed hope that mainstream conservative voters would coalesce behind Florida Senator Marco Rubio in Tuesday’s […] Read more »
Clinton’s Iowa Performance Reveals New Fault Lines for Democrats
… The Democratic Party has historically been described as diverse and disorganized — a patchwork of interests and demographic groups who jostle for control of the party agenda. But after the 2008 Iowa caucuses, it was hard to paint a clear picture of what distinguished the supporters of the three […] Read more »
How Hillary Clinton Could Lose by Winning
Hillary Clinton’s close call in Iowa has given her new reason to reflect on the old adage that history repeats itself—first as tragedy, then as farce. … But whether or not Sanders ultimately defeats Clinton, he has quickly spotlighted a glaring weakness in her candidacy: an inspiration gap, particularly among […] Read more »
The Great Democratic Age Gap
Bernie Sanders answered two important questions with his strong showing in Iowa. But, despite his impressive finish, he’ll need to answer two more to truly threaten Hillary Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination. The most powerful lesson from the Iowa caucus results is that Democrats are facing not just a […] Read more »
A stark dividing line in the Clinton-Sanders contest: Age 45
While Hillary Clinton barely edged Bernie Sanders to win the Iowa caucuses, one thing became clear Monday night: The race for the Democratic nomination is turning into a battle of the ages. The dividing line was 45 years old — voters that age or older went decisively for Clinton, while […] Read more »