To win the White House, Donald Trump may need to turn back the clock and make the American electorate look more like it did in 2004 than in 2012. … So, why are so many polls close right now? One reason: Some pollsters foresee working-class whites making up a larger […] Read more »
Trump Beats Clinton Among Least-Educated Whites in Bloomberg Poll
Donald Trump is decisively winning white voters who don’t have more than a high-school education, but his stubborn unpopularity with minorities has given Hillary Clinton a narrow overall lead with America’s least-educated voters. Those findings from the latest Purple Slice online poll for Bloomberg Politics highlight two of the biggest […] Read more »
Are they blue?
One of the major themes of election reporting in this campaign has involved “blue-collar” or “working class” support for Donald Trump. But few surveys ask people about their occupations today, so usually journalists treat class as equivalent to education. … Of course, education is associated with occupation, but how strong […] Read more »
This may be the last presidential election dominated by Boomers and prior generations
For the past few decades, presidential elections have been dominated by voters of the Baby Boom and previous generations, who are estimated to have cast a majority of the votes. But their election reign may end this November, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of census data. CONT. […] Read more »
Why Democrats Keep Winning Presidential Elections
If Donald Trump can’t erase Hillary Clinton’s lead in the presidential race, the Republican Party will cross an ominous milestone—and confront some agonizing choices. Democrats have won the popular vote in five of the six presidential elections since 1992. … And like earlier dominant parties, Democrats have built their presidential […] Read more »
The Wave
America is about to experience a once-in-a-lifetime earthquake of an election, but progressives do not seem to trust the new American majority and its ascendant values and thus, continue to be tactical, reactive, and fight old wars. As a result, they may miss the chance to create a governing majority […] Read more »