Key Points• With the national House map nearly complete, it appears that the overall map still leans toward Republicans.• However, this GOP bias is not nearly as strong as it was a decade ago.• We rate and analyze the new Missouri and New York congressional maps. CONTINUED Kyle Kondik & […] Read more »
Georgia voters showed us these 3 things about the fall election
In Atlanta’s distant suburbs, voters across the political spectrum report that local life is good in 2022 — but the direction of the country is not. That’s one of three major insights we gained while interviewing voters in a key state. We visited two metro Atlanta counties — one blue […] Read more »
More Americans label Republican Party extreme and Democratic Party as weak
With midterm primaries helping set the direction for the Democratic and Republican parties, most Americans, including many of the parties’ own voters, aren’t terribly happy with the parties or what they’re talking about. Given that Sunday’s CBS News poll finds most aren’t happy with the direction of the country either, […] Read more »
Republicans are gaining with female voters, as gender gap shrinks
The polling ahead of the 2022 midterms has been marked by a shrinking of electoral divisions. Young and older voters are now more likely to agree on their views of President Joe Biden. The Democratic advantage among Black and Hispanic voters, while still clear, is smaller. Perhaps more surprisingly as […] Read more »
Trump’s MAGA is marching down a trail blazed by the Tea Party
A little more than a dozen years ago, a new movement erupted in American politics calling itself “the Tea Party.” In the midterm elections of 2010, that movement remade Congress and helped the Republican Party to a decade of dominance in electing the legislatures of roughly 30 states. The phrase […] Read more »
Can Democrats Turn Things Around?
With just under six months to go until the November elections, the political environment looks as bleak as ever for Democrats. The President’s job approval ratings remain mired in the low 40s, inflation has proven to be stubborn and persistent, and Americans are overwhelmingly pessimistic about the country’s direction, with […] Read more »