Key Points• We are making 10 House rating changes, 9 of which benefit Republicans.• Our overall best guess at the net change in the House — a GOP gain somewhere in the 20s — remains unchanged.• We don’t see a huge impact, so far, from the Supreme Court’s landmark abortion […] Read more »
Backlash: The Counter-Revolutions Driving Politics & Policy
Politics and policy move in cycles. The pendulum swings from growing government to conservative retrenchment, less regulation to stronger oversight, Democratic leadership to Republican. Momentum is shifting again. There are four key backlashes to recent trends that businesses and investors must understand and navigate to succeed in 2023-24. CONTINUED – […] Read more »
CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024
A new CNN poll finds 75% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters want the party to nominate someone other than President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, a sharp increase from earlier this year. The poll comes as Biden’s approval ratings remain low and most Americans are discontented with the state […] Read more »
Battling To A Democratic Win In 2022
Democrats face the most daunting internal problems and headwinds getting to a winning margin in the 2022 midterms, yet this angry and Republican-leaning electorate gives them a 2-point margin in the vote. Democracy Corps conducted a national web survey among 2,500 registered voters from July 8-16, 2022. The data includes […] Read more »
Red states are building a nation within a nation
It was a revealing sign of the times when the Supreme Court last week, in response to a lawsuit from the Republican state attorneys general in Texas and Louisiana, blocked President Joe Biden’s administration from changing a key element of federal immigration policy. The case was just the latest example […] Read more »
Selling the Bipartisan Infrastructure Deal to American Voters
The bipartisan infrastructure deal (BIF) was a historic achievement that few thought possible. But since its passage in November, the law has done little to move voter opinion in Democrats’ favor. To find out why and what to do, Third Way and Impact Research conducted a survey of 2000 likely […] Read more »