Polls almost always move toward Republicans in the fall

There’s little surprise so far in October. According to social media, half the world spent the weekend at a pumpkin patch, and the other half spent it debating the merits of Christopher Columbus. The usual schools lead the college football rankings. And political coverage is telling you that “the polls […] Read more »

The central tension driving the 2022 election

The choice for voters in the 2022 campaign has sharpened to the point where it can be condensed to a single phrase: Your money or your rights? Most voters continue to express strikingly negative views on President Joe Biden’s management of the economy, and for that matter, his handling of […] Read more »

Biden is unpopular, but Democrats lead 2022 polls. What gives?

Joe Biden is underwater: 45 percent of voters approve of his job performance as president while 52 percent disapprove, adding up to a net approval rating of negative seven percentage points. Yet Biden isn’t sinking Democratic congressional candidates — they lead Republicans in national House polls by one point. These […] Read more »

Why the GOP can’t count on Joe Biden’s low ratings to sink Democrats

We are now under a month until Election Day, and you can feel the midterm campaign really taking hold. From Herschel Walker generating headlines for his troubles in Georgia to the Senate GOP campaign arm cutting bait in New Hampshire, we’re getting down to crunch time. All of this is […] Read more »

Women powered Democrats in the 2018 midterms. Will they again in 2022?

… In the coming weeks, The Washington Post will be looking at some of the voters who will decide the fate of the next Congress, and assessing whether Democrats can maintain the coalition that propelled them to victories in 2018 and 2020. This “Deciders” series begins with a look from […] Read more »