… In the era of Trump, Democrats have become more and more reliant on suburban voters. But, as one Democratic strategist wondered aloud the other day: are Democrats simply renting them until Trump is no longer in office? CONT. Amy Walter, Cook Political Report Read more »
4 poll numbers that could spell doom for Trump and the GOP
We’re less than four months from the 2020 election, and President Trump is in a bad way. A slew of national polls show him losing to Joe Biden by an average of around nine points; swing-state polls almost universally show Biden leading; and worry is growing on the right not […] Read more »
Reminder for Democrats: Politics won’t stop after November
Democrats’ near-term opportunities shouldn’t obscure the longer-term problems the party faces. First, from the time of his likely election in November and his inauguration in January, President Joe Biden will find himself under attack not only from the GOP but also from elements within his own party. … After eight […] Read more »
David Paul Kuhn and Stan Greenberg on Democrats’ Alienation of White Working-Class Voters
The Hard Hat Riot of 1970 may have lost some of its historical importance in the eyes of everyone but the most astute modern day political operatives. But author David Paul Kuhn (“The Hard Hat Riot”) and political strategist Stan Greenberg (“RIP GOP”) make the case that any Democrat worth […] Read more »
States of Play: Georgia
Key Points• Over the last few decades, Georgia has gone from a swing state to reliably GOP. But it’s now looking like a genuinely competitive state again.• Democrats have made major inroads in both urban Atlanta and its suburbs, but their gains have been somewhat blunted by the sharp Republican […] Read more »
This year’s Senate races spell disaster for the Republican Party
Republicans are beginning to gird themselves for a landslide defeat for President Trump that drags the entire party down. It could be even worse than they think. Elections in both the House and Senate are increasingly syncing with broader presidential races. In 2016, every Senate race was won by the […] Read more »