With less than two months to go until the election—and with the critical battleground of North Carolina already sending out mail-in ballots—it’s worth taking stock of where things stand. Based on the slew of post-convention polls and conversations with Republican and Democratic strategists, there’s a consensus that the president received […] Read more »
Democrats Made Gains From Multiple Sources in 2018 Midterm Victories
Compared with Hillary Clinton’s 2-point popular vote advantage over Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election, the Democratic Party expanded its margin over the Republican Party to 9 points in votes cast for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2018, a gain of 7 percentage points. This increased support was […] Read more »
How Biden is pressing a two-front war against Trump
Joe Biden has described himself as a “bridge” between the Democrats’ current and future generations of leaders. But he may also be a bridge between its present and future on the electoral map. Exactly eight weeks before Election Day, Biden has strong opportunities to recapture states that President Donald Trump […] Read more »
Democrats are leading in the polls. That means it’s time for them to panic.
The summer is coming to the close of an even-numbered year and Democrats are up in the polls, which means it’s time for them to freak out about the upcoming election. Democrats are nothing if not a self-doubting bunch, and the 2016 election left such a psychic scar that many […] Read more »
Flat Polls. Weak Ratings. Do Political Conventions Have a Future?
After 18 hours of speeches by the candidates, testimonials from former presidents and generals, poignant appeals from voters, a cross-country nominating roll call, opera on a White House balcony and fireworks over the Washington Monument, the verdict is in on the national political conventions. Ratings were down. Polls barely budged. […] Read more »
Democrats requesting absentee ballots outnumber GOP in key swing states
As early voting in the presidential election begins Friday, with North Carolina becoming the first state in the nation to send out absentee ballots, key battleground states are seeing a significant increase in requests for mail-in ballots and registered Democrats are outpacing Republicans. Although voters in North Carolina have until […] Read more »