Asian Americans are the fastest growing racial group in the country, and the group exhibited record levels of turnout in 2018 for midterm elections. Enthusiasm levels are high as we approach the November 2020 Presidential elections as well. Asian Americans constitute a critical mass in several competitive states, including Arizona, […] Read more »
Why the stability of the 2020 race promises more volatility ahead
In a presidency of unprecedented disruption and turmoil, Donald Trump’s support has remained remarkably stable. That stability, paradoxically, points toward years of rising turbulence in American politics and life. … The durability of both support and opposition to Trump shows how the motivation for voters’ choices is shifting from transitory […] Read more »
Asian Americans’ political preferences have flipped from red to blue
Asian American voters leave a Temple City, California, polling place in 2012, in the state’s first legislative district that is majority Asian American. Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images John A. Tures, LaGrange College Asian Americans used to be a reliable Republican voting bloc. But long before Kamala Harris, who […] Read more »
Biden’s troubles with Black and Latino voters are overstated
After the 2016 election, when Hillary Clinton lost White voters by 15 points, it seemed as if Democrats might need to accept their losses and rely more on minority voters for their next majority. But the opposite has happened. In recent polls, Joe Biden has held President Trump to a […] Read more »
Democrats Won’t Cede the Streets This Time
During the long legal battle in Florida that ultimately determined the 2000 presidential election, Al Gore, the Democratic nominee, specifically discouraged Jesse Jackson, the veteran civil-rights leader, from organizing public protests to demand a full counting of the disputed ballots. Gore wanted to fight solely in the courts, though that […] Read more »
Joe Biden might win in a landslide. That would make things more complicated.
For weeks, the mantra of the data nerd has been that President Trump can still win reelection. The Democratic nightmare scenario — Trump loses the popular vote but again wins the electoral college — is very much still on the table. But the same statistical models that show a path […] Read more »