Key Points• In the upcoming 2020 elections, if Joe Biden defeats Donald Trump, and if the Democrats win control of the Senate and maintain control of the U.S. House, statehood for the District of Columbia and for Puerto Rico is a real possibility.• On June 26, 2020, the U.S. House […] Read more »
New Senate map shows Republicans are increasingly vulnerable
Amid the constant political chaos of 2020, there have been a few consistencies. One of them has been a growing Democratic advantage in this fall’s congressional races, particularly the Senate. For Democrats, the potential for pickups is growing and affecting some places where a tight general election race is not […] Read more »
Mail-In Voter Fraud: Anatomy of a Disinformation Campaign
The claim that election fraud is a major concern with mail-in ballots has become the central threat to election participation during the Covid-19 pandemic and to the legitimacy of the outcome of the election across the political spectrum. President Trump has repeatedly cited his concerns over voter fraud associated with […] Read more »
Most Cuban American voters identify as Republican in 2020
Unlike other Hispanic registered voters in the United States, most Cuban Americans identify as Republican – a pattern that could have electoral implications as President Donald Trump seeks to recapture the important swing state of Florida this year. Nationwide, 58% of Cuban registered voters say they affiliate with or lean […] Read more »
How Trump Voters View His Position on Pre-existing Conditions
… Joe Biden and Democratic candidates for Congress are campaigning heavily on the issue, arguing that another term of a Trump presidency would mean a rollback of insurance protections that are extremely popular. Mr. Biden pressed the issue at Tuesday night’s presidential debate, saying “there’s 100 million people that have […] Read more »
Biden Lead Looks Firmer as Midwest Moves His Way
Key Points• With the first debate now in the books, we have close to 20 rating changes across the Electoral College, Senate, and House.• Joe Biden is now over 270 electoral votes in our ratings as we move several Midwestern states in his favor.• Changes in the battle for Congress […] Read more »