In talking to pollsters and political operatives in both parties over the past few days, I heard from nary a voice that thinks President Trump did anything other than hurt himself in last week’s debate. The only dispute is over how much. Yet before we could even get a good […] Read more »
Why Republicans should be worried about Arizona
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and his running mate, California Sen. Kamala Harris, are in the swing state of Arizona on Thursday, and so is Vice President Mike Pence. Their presence underscores the importance of the state to the path to the presidency in November. And while Arizona hasn’t voted […] Read more »
With Just Weeks to Go, Trump is Not Making up Ground
Key Points• Recent rosy polling for Joe Biden in the presidential race may represent an artificial sugar high for the challenger.• But at this point, Donald Trump needs to be making up ground — not treading water or falling further behind.• 11 rating changes across four categories of races (president, […] Read more »
Extreme Partisan Gaps in Early Voting Emerge This Year
Major partisan differences in when U.S. registered voters plan to vote have emerged this year that did not exist in prior years. Sixty-two percent of Democratic registered voters plan to vote early or indicate they have already voted, compared with 28% of Republican voters. The 34-percentage-point partisan gap in early […] Read more »
Why the Southeast is up for grabs in the 2020 election
… Apart from Virginia, which now shades reliably blue, Republicans still hold the upper hand in the states across the Southeast. But while the GOP advantage remains lopsided in the Deep South states of Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Arkansas, Democrats this year are showing clear signs of revival in North […] Read more »
Voter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High
Americans’ attentiveness to the presidential election continues to increase as the campaign enters its final month. Seventy-four percent of U.S. adults now say they are giving the election “quite a lot” of thought. … Enthusiasm about voting has increased substantially among both major party groups since 2016, with 80% of […] Read more »