Whether you’re a Republican or a Democrat, liberal or conservative, predisposed toward labor or business, your eyes should now be squarely pointed to the races below the presidential level. … For some time, pollsters of all stripes have been seeing that Trump’s political problems were metastasizing and now infecting many […] Read more »
Election 2020: A Fortnight and Five Days Away
Key Points• With 19 days to go before the election, Joe Biden’s lead in the presidential race remains steady, although his national lead is bigger than his leads in the most crucial swing states.• In the Senate, Republicans appear to be getting some traction against Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI), although […] Read more »
How 2020 may reconfigure politics in the Southwest
For years, the Southwest shimmered like a mirage to Democrats thirsting for a political breakthrough in the desert. Since 2004, steady gains have allowed them to establish a clear upper hand in New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada. But, until recently, they had been frustrated by their inability to extend those […] Read more »
The New Electoral Map Isn’t Very New, But Biden’s Lead Keeps the Battleground From Shrinking
We’re now in the home stretch of the 2020 presidential campaign, with millions of ballots already cast via early and mail-in voting. The two candidates and their advisors are now making final decisions about where to allocate resources—ad spending, voter mobilization operations, and travel by the nominees and their running […] Read more »
Biden tops 270 in POLITICO’s Election Forecast
Joe Biden has reached 270 electoral votes for the first time since POLITICO’s Election Forecast debuted late last year. In addition to a double-digit national lead, Biden has built a stable advantage in the three Great Lakes States that put Donald Trump over the top in 2016: Michigan, Pennsylvania and […] Read more »
Republicans risk losing Texas, Florida & Arizona state races
The 2020 campaign isn’t just about the White House or even the Congress. Across the country, seats in 86 legislative chambers in 44 states will be on the ballot as well. And those elections will have also consequences, in some cases, big consequences, as states will soon set about the […] Read more »