The generational makeup of the United States will change dramatically in the future, a shift that will have potentially profound effects in future elections, according to a new States of Change report published today by demographic experts from the Center for American Progress, the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC), the Brookings […] Read more »
Ahead of 2020 Election and Amid Multiple Crises, Trump and Biden Supporters See Different Realities and Futures for the Nation
Two weeks before the presidential election, a new national survey of 2,538 Americans released today by the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) finds that supporters of each presidential candidate see different realities in the current crises in the country, including the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and widespread protests over racial justice. […] Read more »
Excuse me, but is that a partisan wave building?
GOP insiders are now hoping for the best but bracing for the worst. Veteran Republicans have all but given up on Donald Trump’s reelection and are now focused on minimizing the damage down ballot. They criticize Trump’s poor messaging and salute the Democrats’ fundraising numbers, which reflect Democratic enthusiasm and […] Read more »
Why These Voters Rejected Hillary Clinton but Are Backing Joe Biden
… Since 2019, Mr. Biden has held an advantage of four to eight points over Mrs. Clinton in key swing districts, according to an analysis by John Hagner, a partner at Clarity Campaign Labs, a Democratic data analytics firm. Polling shows Mr. Biden scoring higher than Mrs. Clinton among a […] Read more »
Biden leads Trump. So did Hillary Clinton. For Democrats, it’s a worrisome campaign deja vu
The polls are once again delivering feel-good boosts to Democrats: Joe Biden beats President Trump by 10, 11 or 12 points nationally, depending on the day. His edge in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin averages eight. Propeller-heads promise better than 4 in 5 odds of a new president next year. But […] Read more »
Can Biden compete in Trump’s rural strongholds? Democrats hope so.
… After a tumultuous first term, Trump has seen his support erode across the country, even in deeply conservative rural areas that have been a bedrock of his support, and he is racing to stem any lasting damage. A series of national polls have shown a narrowing of his once-dominating […] Read more »