The retirement announcement this week from Sen. Rob Portman is a sign that even as we just finished one election, another one is right around the corner. Democrats seemed to be pleased that the Ohio Republican is stepping aside because beating an incumbent senator is hard. … But history suggests […] Read more »
How America Changed During Donald Trump’s Presidency
Donald Trump stunned the political world in 2016 when he became the first person without government or military experience ever to be elected president of the United States. His four-year tenure in the White House revealed extraordinary fissures in American society but left little doubt that he is a figure […] Read more »
How Many Voters Can GOP Senators Afford To Offend?
… One thing on the minds of a lot of strategists in both parties is what the residual effect of Trump will be on his party. An impressive amount of unreleased survey research—both quantitative polls and qualitative focus groups—since the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol suggests that between 25 […] Read more »
What the Data Say About How Biden Should Govern
Last month, I examined the exit-poll data to answer the question How did Joe Biden win the presidential election? I distilled six “hard truths” that help explain his victory. Drawing on those findings, I want to turn to a related question: What lessons does his victory hold for how he […] Read more »
PollerCoaster: What Voters Want in Biden’s First 100 Days
Crooked Media and Change Research surveyed 1742 registered voters nationwide from January 22 to 23 to find out what people want President Biden and Congress to get done. … People’s top three priorities for the Biden Administration are controlling the virus, distributing the vaccine, and getting economic relief. CONTINUED Ben […] Read more »
2022 Senate Races: Initial Ratings
Key Points• Republicans will be defending more Senate seats than Democrats in 2022, but both sides have some potential pickup opportunities — though a large gain for either party seems unlikely.• Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH) would have been an overwhelming favorite to win a third term, but even with his […] Read more »