… The “moderate” label was always a poor fit for Biden, used mostly as a facile shorthand to denote that his politics differed from those of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. As I observed after his selection of Kamala Harris last August, Biden’s actual career-long persona is “regular Democrat,” with […] Read more »
2020’s Crossover Districts
Key Points• 16 members of Congress hold districts that voted for the other party’s presidential nominee in 2020.• Many Biden-district Republicans are from racially diverse areas, and they often came out on the winning end of rematches.• Democrats held several Trump seats in both blue collar and suburban areas.• Overall, […] Read more »
The risks of a fragile majority
… The American people are tired — tired of lockdowns and masks, closed schools and dying businesses. They are tired of the partisan bickering and want to see something done that will help them and their families. Simply as a matter of political pragmatism, if nothing else, both parties should […] Read more »
Navigating the first 100 days
This release features findings from a national online survey of 1,005 registered voters conducted January 27-February 1, 2021. Additional interviews were conducted among 100 Hispanic voters, 100 African American voters, and 100 independents without a partisan lean. Key takeaways• Since the election, more Americans are optimistic about the direction of […] Read more »
This is job one for Biden in the climate debate
President Joe Biden’s push to accelerate the nation’s transition toward electric vehicles offers him a game-changing opportunity to jolt the climate change debate — if he can quell simmering tension between two key elements of the Democratic coalition. If Biden can convince auto companies and autoworkers that they will prosper […] Read more »
Is Trump’s ‘big lie’ Democrats’ big chance to entice Republican voters?
Would Republicans in Washington stand by Donald Trump’s “big lie” if they knew it could cost the party a fifth of its voters? A nationally representative Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in the days following the Capitol insurrection confirmed the large number of Republicans who believe Trump’s false assertion that the 2020 […] Read more »