Last week the Census Bureau released the 2020 decennial tally of the population of the nation and all 50 states, and both parties took notice. The count that determines each state’s number of seats in the House of Representatives and votes for the Electoral College was probably affected by the […] Read more »
Can Democrats Avoid a Wipeout in 2022?
The good news for Democrats who watched Joe Biden unveil a historically ambitious agenda last night is that newly elected presidents have almost always passed some version of their core economic plan—particularly when their party controls both congressional chambers, as Biden’s does now. The bad news: Voters have almost always […] Read more »
Should Biden Emphasize Race or Class or Both or None of the Above?
Should the Democratic Party focus on race or class when trying to build support for new initiatives and — perhaps equally important — when seeking to achieve a durable Election Day majority? The publication on April 26 of a scholarly paper, “Racial Equality Frames and Public Policy Support,” has stirred […] Read more »
Independents will decide when Biden’s honeymoon is over
… Almost every president has begun his term basking in the afterglow of an election victory that, after the inauguration, becomes the traditional honeymoon period. A large majority of Americans usually gives a new president the benefit of the doubt and the time to show whether the many promises made […] Read more »
The Midterm Elections Are a Jump Ball
We’ve lived through three riveting election cycles in a row—President Trump’s two races, with House Democrats’ midterm triumph sandwiched in the middle. But don’t get comfortable now, because we may be in for another one. With the Senate 50-50 and the current House split 218 to 212, with five vacant […] Read more »
2020 Census: What the Reapportionment Numbers Mean
Today, the Census Bureau unveiled its official 2020 state population counts, determining how many House seats and Electoral votes each state will receive for the next decade. The detailed data needed to draw official district lines won’t be released until the fall. But Republicans, who only need to pick up […] Read more »