The Census Bureau released two important sets of data last week that have big implications for American politics — and that challenge some prevailing assumptions for both Democrats and Republicans. The first set of data lays out long-term demographic trends widely thought to favor Democrats: Hispanics, Asian-Americans and multiracial voters […] Read more »
Republicans shut out Democrats in Texas’s special election. That’s a bad omen for Team Blue.
President Biden’s success in the suburbs last year has led many Democrats to crow about their chance to create a new version of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal coalition, which dominated U.S. politics for nearly 50 years. Saturday’s special election in Texas’s 6th Congressional District shows how far the party […] Read more »
The Next Hundred: 10 Things to Know About Team Biden & the Future
Political analysis, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONTINUED — pdf The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Biden could be the one to finally begin poaching the GOP’s core voters
In a democracy, any serious governing project is also a political project. Presidents who want their achievements to endure know they must create majorities to sustain their visions over time. … The ongoing debate among pollsters is whether economic policies can really move the numbers among White working-class voters. After […] Read more »
Do You Live in a Political Bubble?
More than half of Republicans believe that last year’s election was stolen from Donald Trump. Rather than reject claims of election fraud, Republican lawmakers have used the premise that the election was stolen to justify restrictions on voting. Mr. Trump most likely deserves much of the blame for the widespread […] Read more »
American Politics Now Has Two Big Racial Divides
There’s been a recent flurry of studies and analyses that take a deeper look at the results of the 2020 election. These examinations don’t contradict our early interpretation of the results from the days and weeks immediately following Election Day: The overwhelming majority of voters backed the candidate from the […] Read more »