Just as Democrats were starting to watch their chances of maintaining majorities in Congress get washed out to sea with President Joe Biden’s declining job approval ratings, Republicans have handed them at least one, and maybe two, life preservers for the 2022 elections. With the historical trend of midterms and […] Read more »
The California Recall Could Be a Road Map for Democrats
California Governor Gavin Newsom is confronting the toughest challenge Democrats may face in next year’s midterm election—and guiding his party toward a possible solution as the Republican-driven recall against him enters its final days. One key reason the president’s party historically fares so poorly in midterm elections is that its […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Eight: A Quick Summation of a Long Series
Key Points• Over the past several weeks, we’ve analyzed redistricting all over the country.• Overall, our House outlook remains unchanged after this analysis: There are a lot of reasons to like the Republicans’ chances of winning a majority next year.• All of our 44 full redistricting previews for each state […] Read more »
How Educational Differences Are Widening America’s Political Rift
The front lines of America’s cultural clashes have shifted in recent years. A vigorous wave of progressive activism has helped push the country’s culture to the left, inspiring a conservative backlash against everything from “critical race theory” to the supposed cancellation of Dr. Seuss. These skirmishes may be different in […] Read more »
California recall vote offers test of Biden political clout
… With a week to spare, the White House is diving into the California gubernatorial recall election, coming to Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom’s aid with visits from Vice President Kamala Harris and then Biden himself to try to alleviate lingering concerns about Democratic turnout in the unusual September vote. … […] Read more »
Afghanistan won’t doom Democrats in 2022. But it has left a wound.
Afghanistan is a political disaster for the Biden administration. Americans have long wanted the war to end, but they also believe Biden botched the withdrawal: 71 percent of Americans rate his handling of Afghanistan as “only fair” or “poor” while just 27 percent say his performance is “excellent” or “good.” […] Read more »