… The Republican Revolution of 1994 represents a transitional point between more than a half century of Democratic dominance in the House and a more recent period that does not qualify as Republican “dominance” but is certainly more than just a slight political imbalance. In the years since 1994, Republicans […] Read more »
NRCC October Battleground Congressional District Survey
The latest NRCC battleground survey makes it clear the political environment is moving decisively towardRepublicans. • Republicans are leading on the generic ballot and with key demographic groups, like independents and college educated white voters.• Republicans are winning on the issues most important to voters.• Voters understand the negative consequences […] Read more »
The Economy, Biden’s Approval, and How to Fight Back
There is no political saying more trite — or more accurate — than James Carville’s famous aphorism from the 1992 campaign “It’s the economy, stupid.” Electoral success and economic performance are intrinsically tied together. The party in power is usually rewarded for a strong economy and punished for a weak […] Read more »
Democrats overplaying the Trump card in Virginia governor’s race
Terry McAuliffe’s campaign strategy in the Virginia governor’s race has been to relentlessly link his opponent, businessman Glenn Youngkin, to former President Trump. … To borrow a line from President Biden, McAuliffe only needs three words to make a sentence: a noun, a verb, and Donald Trump. The strategy to […] Read more »
Democrats’ problem is not focusing on issues most vital to independents, 2 prominent pollsters say
Joel Benenson has a feeling of deja vu watching President Biden’s agenda grind into a long, drawn-out negotiation as middle-of-the-road voters recoil at the process taking place in Congress. “History doesn’t really often repeat itself, but it often rhymes,” said Benenson, who served as Barack Obama’s pollster in the 2008 […] Read more »
Virginia’s gubernatorial race tests the fear-of-Trump factor as a political motivator
… No single election ever answers all the questions of the moment in politics, but fairly or not, the Nov. 2 Virginia contest has taken on outsize importance, particularly to nervous Democrats who are justifiably fearful about losing their congressional majorities in the 2022 midterms. It’s as if the future […] Read more »