People often talk about politics as though the business of electing candidates is shrouded in nearly infinite complexity. The reality is that for most of the 40 years I have been in and around campaigns, winning has often come down to just three factors — the racial composition of a […] Read more »
The Real Lesson for All Factions of the Democratic Party
… What are the lessons we should take from the 1992 Clinton campaign and his time in government if we want to help all factions contribute to rebuilding the national Democratic Party? First, you must keep listening to working people and know how difficult it is to stay on course. […] Read more »
Republicans More Likely Than Democrats To Say Partisan Control of Congress ‘Really Matters’
With the midterm congressional elections still more than seven months away, registered voters are evenly divided between the two major parties in their election preferences. At the same time, Republican voters are more likely than Democratic voters to say it “really matters” which party gains control of Congress in this […] Read more »
Are Latinos Deserting the Democratic Party? Evidence from the Exit Polls
Key Points• One key question in American politics is the trajectory of Latino voters. Donald Trump performed better in 2020 with Latino voters than he did in 2016, particularly in places like South Texas and South Florida.• However, an analysis of the longer-term trend in Latino presidential voting shows that […] Read more »
NRCC Battleground Congressional District Survey Findings
The NRCC’s latest battleground survey confirms that Joe Biden and Democrats face an increasingly challenging political environment. Battleground voters continue to hold Democrats responsible for the negative impact that record-high inflation, soaring crime, and the crisis along our southern border are having on their lives. Additionally, these voters overwhelmingly support […] Read more »
Democrats Are Making Life Too Easy for Republicans
… The historical pattern of midterm contests suggests that a rejection of the party in power is the customary order of business. But the consequences of a Republican takeover of the House or of both branches of Congress are unlikely to be routine. What we can be sure of is […] Read more »