The party not occupying the White House seizes control of governor’s offices in New Jersey and Virginia. An unexpectedly competitive special Senate election threatens the chamber’s balance of power. Major legislation being forced through along partisan lines heads for a climactic holiday-season vote. Veteran lawmakers of the governing party race […] Read more »
When ‘Democrat’ is a worse slur than ‘alleged sexual miscreant’
President Trump’s rationale for continuing to support Roy Moore, the Republican candidate for the Senate in the Alabama, was simple when he offered it on Tuesday. “We don’t need a liberal person in there, a Democrat,” Trump said. The contrast Trump drew, then, was this. Either Moore, accused of sexual […] Read more »
Taking a Deeper Dive into Recent Congressional Generic Ballot Polls
At first glance, there seems to be a dramatic change in just a short time in the generic congressional ballot question. Last week, The Marist Poll showed a 15 point Democratic lead over the Republicans 51% to 36%. This week, the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll has the Democrats over the Republicans […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Alabama Senate Race
Allegations of sexual misconduct against the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Alabama, Roy Moore, have rocked the special election in the state. In this reddest of red states, the polls are inconsistent, and many lack the scientific rigor that instills confidence in the polls. Can the polls be believed? […] Read more »
Democratic Wave Begins Forming Off Political Coast
In theory, wave elections are very exciting for political analysts and aficionados. They tend to feature lots of upsets, which unfold in cascading fashion, adding to the drama. But in other ways, they are fairly humdrum because there is usually plenty of warning that they’re coming. As in the Morton […] Read more »
A new poll makes it crystal clear: Sexual harassment is not a dealbreaker in today’s Republican Party
The big new finding from a Quinnipiac University poll is this: About half of Republicans say GOP senators should let Roy Moore serve in the Senate. By a margin of 49 percent to 33 percent, Republicans say the Alabamian, who is accused of sexual misconduct with multiple teenagers, should not […] Read more »