Assume, for the moment, that next year’s midterm elections go exactly like this year’s special and general elections. What would happen? The Democrats would post sweeping gains. They would win the House national popular vote, probably by a wide margin. But the battle for House control would be close. The […] Read more »
Winning Your Thanksgiving
While this year’s divisiveness in politics is bound to put our holiday meals at risk of spiraling into all-out political warfare, we have good news: Democrats’ recent victories in this November’s elections and our data show that there are several issues where, by a large margin, Americans find the Democratic […] Read more »
Why Menendez Is Still A Favorite In New Jersey’s Senate Race
One of the biggest wild cards in the 2018 battle for the U.S. Senate may not be so wild after all. New Jersey Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez’s federal corruption trial ended in a hung jury last week. That leaves him free to run for reelection in 2018. Menendez could be […] Read more »
Could Roy Moore flip deep-red Alabama to blue?
As allegations of sexual misconduct against Roy Moore multiply and polls suggest he could lose the senate race he once led by double-digits, political analysts offer one cautionary refrain: Remember, it’s Alabama and he’s a Republican. But a look at Moore’s last general election in the state shows its voters […] Read more »
A middle-class tax cut? Hardly.
President Trump and his Republicans are still trying to sell their tax bill as a “middle class tax cut.” The middle class isn’t buying it—but that won’t stop Congress from passing some version of their plan. … Even before the House and Senate unveiled their bills, about half of registered […] Read more »
Democrats see backlash over Republicans’ tax bill as a key to winning in the suburbs
For decades, the battle lines in New England’s most politically conservative state were clear. Republicans ran on tax cuts. Democrats ran on targeted tax credits. Both parties kept New Hampshire free of a state income or sales tax, blurring some distinctions for suburban voters. Then came the Republican tax plan […] Read more »