We’re now just 100 days away from the midterms, and the big question on everyone’s mind is whether Democrats will net-gain 23 seats and gain control of the House of Representatives. A look at five different metrics suggests that Democrats are favored to take back the House, though each of […] Read more »
The 7 key factors defining the 2018 midterms
It will be a nationwide referendum on the Trump presidency. But that will mean very different things depending on what part of the nation we’re talking about. President Donald Trump is by far the biggest force driving politics in 2018. Trump has unleashed a fierce opposition yet has inspired loyalties […] Read more »
Polls show a return of Democrats’ ‘Big Blue Wall’
When President Donald Trump captured the White House in 2016, he won with an electoral map that showed a shift in long-standing voting patterns, hammering away at the Democrats’ “Big Blue Wall” of states in the upper Midwest. New state polls from Marist this week, however, suggest those older patterns […] Read more »
Russia Is The ‘Dark Cloud’ That Hangs Over Midterm Elections
These midterm elections are hard to game out. That’s because there are a lot of factors that could cancel each other out, and there is no single issue that appears to be breaking through. “Frankly, it is about volatility,” said a Republican operative, who spoke on the condition of anonymity […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Polls, Polls, and More Polls
The Marist Poll has just released comprehensive data both nationally and in the upper Midwest. In this edition of Poll Hub, the team provides a detailed analysis of the electoral climate. In the latest NBC News/Marist Poll numbers of Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is upside […] Read more »
Disillusioned GOP moderates
Democracy Corps just completed focus groups with key segments of the Republican Party. They confirm very clearly that Donald Trump riling up his Tea Party and Evangelical base both fuels the Democratic resistance and pushes away many in the GOP. Trump’s base strategy is especially disillusioning for the GOP moderates […] Read more »