With the Kavanaugh nomination behind them, congressional Republicans are in the process of making immigration an important campaign issue. This past Monday, House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) promised a “big fight” over funding the border wall and on Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) signaled his intention to fully […] Read more »
Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
The Democrats’ chances of netting at least two Senate seats always seemed like a long shot. But a month ago, the stars looked to be aligning for them. Today, those stars tell a different story. … For months, it has looked as if Democrats would capture the House and Republicans […] Read more »
‘It keeps me awake at night’: Democrats fear lackluster Latino support could undercut bid for Congress
Democrats are worried about Latino voters in the midterms, fearing that weak efforts to energize a core element of their base could imperil their bid to win control of Congress in next month’s elections. From the Sun Belt battlegrounds of Nevada and Arizona to sprawling turf wars in Texas and […] Read more »
Election 2018: Nevada, Minnesota, and Wisconsin
Nevada, Minnesota, and Wisconsin – three states that will be critical during this year’s midterm elections. On this week’s Poll Hub, the team goes behind the numbers of the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of Nevada, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Among which groups is enthusiasm for the midterm elections strongest? Where do […] Read more »
House Rating Changes: Post-Kavanaugh Polls Reveal an Even More Polarized Landscape
It’s not saying much, but House Republicans have seen more bright spots in the past week of polling since the Kavanaugh confirmation fight than they saw in over a month. Both sides agree Democrats’ enthusiasm advantage has narrowed, and Republicans are benefiting from their base “waking up” in red districts. […] Read more »
The Epicenter of Republican Vulnerability in the House
Democrats’ promising prospects in the 25 Republican-held House districts that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 underscore the price of the electoral trade that Donald Trump’s tempestuous presidency is imposing on the Republican Party. Less than one month before Election Day, Democrats are strongly positioned to win at least 15, […] Read more »