Three weeks before critical midterm elections, voters are expressing significantly more interest in turning out than they were four years ago, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. Enthusiasm is up across almost all demographic groups, but the increases are greater among younger adults, nonwhite voters and those who say […] Read more »
Trump’s approval improves, yet Dems still lead for the House
Donald Trump’s job approval rating advanced to its second-highest of his career in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, but not by enough to erase a double-digit Democratic lead in midterm election vote preferences. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Midterm elections are likely to change the calculus for post-2020 Census redistricting
The redistricting wars, which since 2010 have worked to the advantage of the Republicans, are about to take a potentially significant turn. The midterm elections, along with efforts in states to reduce partisan redistricting, are likely to make the post-2020 battles more competitive. … A Pew Research Center study last […] Read more »
Democratic hopes of taking the Senate look as dim as ever
… Republican hopes of holding the Senate look as bright as ever. Thanks to clear Republican advantages in North Dakota, Tennessee and Texas in our forecast, the Democratic path to a Senate majority is currently blocked. All of those races are within the margin of error, but they aren’t razor […] Read more »
What comes next in the fight against partisan gerrymandering
With the midterm elections only weeks away, the shape of U.S. House districts is again front and center in political conversation. A central question is how much Republican-drawn maps might disadvantage Democratic candidates. To tackle this issue and the debate about redistricting generally, I talked to two scholars: Jonathan Rodden […] Read more »
The Senate represents states, not people. That’s the problem.
The confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court last week spurred a lively discussion about institutional design. After the vote a week ago, some noted that the 50 senators who voted to confirm represent about 45 percent of the population. A number of astute constitutional historians quickly spoke up […] Read more »