The new tax cut law – the Republicans’ signature legislative accomplishment – is unpopular, and increasingly so, as a majority have not seen any personal benefit and believe the tax cut primarily benefits corporations and the wealthy at their expense. Critically, contrary to the Trump-GOP narrative about the booming economy, […] Read more »
The Forecast with Harry Enten: Democrats poised to take the House, GOP likely retains control in Senate
Today, we launched The Forecast. We’ll be letting you know, based on our data analysis, who is favored to win and lose in House and Senate races through the election. We’ll be aggregating those individual estimates to forecast who has the best chance of controlling the House and Senate. … […] Read more »
The Kavanaugh Aftermath
There was never any danger of me becoming a physics major but I remember, from my one class on the subject, Sir Isaac Newton’s third law of motion: For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction. In terms of the impact of the Brett Kavanaugh nomination fight, there […] Read more »
Women lead support for further investigation of Kavanaugh
Led by discontent among women, Americans by a 51-41 percent margin disapprove of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court -– and a majority favors further investigation by Congress that could lead to efforts to remove him from office. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Memo to GOP: You’ve Got a Winning Message and It’s Not Pelosi
Republicans have a great economic story to tell if they are willing to tell it. They have less than a month to make their case to voters that the economic policies that House Republicans began pushing in 2010 are finally paying off. Now is the time to reinforce success, not […] Read more »
Evaluating Enthusiasm With Less Than a Month to Go
Back in 2016, lots of people, myself included, thought that Trump’s “all-base-all-the-time” strategy was ill-conceived. Sure, it would motivate his supporters, but it would also juice up turnout by Democrats and turn off critical swing/independent voters. In the end, however, Trump’s one-sided intensity focus worked because there was not an […] Read more »