The U.S. midterm election campaign has been going on for months, with upwards of $5 billion having been spent to sway the vote. All that spending has not been wasted, but it will account for far less than more persistent factors in determining the outcome of the midterms. One factor […] Read more »
Nevada: Latinos could tip the scales in senatorial and gubernatorial races
In Nevada, a close contest could determine the balance of power in the U.S. Senate for the second half of Joe Biden’s presidential term. The outcome of the election between the current Democratic Senator, Catherine Cortez Masto, and Republican Adam Laxalt, a candidate endorsed by former President Donald Trump, could […] Read more »
Democrats Must Still Close On The Cost-Of-Living
The Democrats have lost ground in this survey from +3 overall margin to even in this survey — and to -2 in the likely electorate. That is driven by Democrats not addressing the top issue, cost of living, where they lost 3 points to be 3 points down and Republicans […] Read more »
Voters’ message to next Congress: Be more effective, fix the economy
“Be more effective” and “fix the economy” were two of the leading messages voters surveyed in a new NBC News poll said when asked to send a message to candidates who will be elected in November’s midterm elections. Voters were allowed to give open-ended responses, which pollsters then categorized into […] Read more »
Pennsylvania Senate contest narrows
The party bases are consolidating around their candidates in the Pennsylvania Senate race, now a toss-up contest with Lt. Gov. John Fetterman ahead by two points heading into their debate Tuesday night. He led by five points a month ago. To the extent there is attitudinal change, it’s partly driven […] Read more »
Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?
The headline in the Washington Post Metro section on Oct. 22 was clear: “Poll shows Luria, Kiggans in dead heat in final leg of crucial race.” … My immediate take was that, based solely on the poll’s ballot test, Luria is an underdog and in deep trouble. That’s because at […] Read more »