Ronald Brownstein: An analysis of the 2018 midterms and a look ahead to the primaries and general election in 2020. Conversations with Bill Kristol Read more »
George H.W. Bush was the accidental catalyst that built the new Republican Party
The statement in the name of then-President George H.W. Bush was posted quietly in the White House pressroom on the morning of June 26, 1990, but there was nothing innocuous about its contents. It was a political thunderclap, the beginning of the remaking of the Republican Party and part of […] Read more »
Target 2020: the Independent Male Voter
Conventional wisdom holds that Republicans lost control of the House of Representatives because they got clobbered among college-educated women. They did take a beating in that demographic, but opposition from college-educated women doesn’t account for why the GOP lost. The real reason Republicans lost 40 House seats? They lost Independent […] Read more »
Despite Big House Losses, G.O.P. Shows No Signs of Course Correction
With a brutal finality, the extent of the Republicans’ collapse in the House came into focus last week as more races slipped away from them and their losses neared 40 seats. Yet nearly a month after the election, there has been little self-examination among Republicans about why a midterm that […] Read more »
2020 Senate contests come into focus
After this week’s Mississippi Senate race, the 2018 midterms are now in the rearview mirror, and politically speaking, it’s time to turn attention to 2020 — not to the big presidential contest, but to the next set of Senate races. When compared with 2016 presidential data, the results from this […] Read more »
What The Heck Is Happening In That North Carolina House Race?
After three weeks of waiting, we thought every U.S. House race in the country was finally decided. No such luck. FiveThirtyEight has uncalled the North Carolina 9th District — an extremely close race that we thought the Republican had won — in light of allegations of voter fraud that, it […] Read more »