by Mark DiCamillo In the final weeks leading up to this year’s November mid-term elections, President Donald Trump encouraged voters across the country to vote as if he were on the ballot. When he said this, it got me to thinking what that might mean for voters here in California. […] Read more »
How President Trump helped the media lose the 2018 midterm elections
The tone of media coverage often reflects the outcome of election campaigns. This is not necessarily because opinion follows media content — it seems just as likely that media reflects the state of public affairs. Either way, there is a considerable body of work that finds a correlation between media […] Read more »
A Quick Look at North Carolina’s Absentee Ballots
News comes that North Carolina’s State Board of Elections and Ethic Enforcement has chosen not to certify the results of the 9th congressional district race, which was (provisionally) won by the Republican Mark Harris over Democrat Dan McCready by 905 only votes. News accounts provide speculation that this is related […] Read more »
In midterm voting decisions, policies took a back seat to partisanship
Partisan loyalty and dislike of the opposing party and its candidates were major factors for voters’ choices in this month’s midterm elections, with far fewer citing policies as the main reason why they voted for Democratic or Republican candidates. CONT. Pew Read more »
Donald Trump’s Dimming Prospects
… The outcome of the 2018 midterm elections does not predict results in the 2020 presidential election, but it does signal geographic strengths and vulnerabilities going forward. After Democrats lost control of the House and Senate in 1994, President Bill Clinton adjusted his governing strategy by moving to the center […] Read more »
What’s Stronger Than a Blue Wave? Gerrymandered Districts
When the blue wave came to North Carolina, the red levees held. In a year in which Democrats picked up as many as 41 House seats, including in places as conservative as Oklahoma and Utah, they lost all three of their targets for pickups in one of the nation’s most […] Read more »