Over the last few weeks, more and more Democratic Members of Congress have come out in favor of impeachment hearings. According to the ShareBlue whip count, 55 currently elected Democratic House members, or nearly a quarter (23%) of their caucus, now support moving forward on impeachment. This slightly lags the […] Read more »
Republicans and the 2020 Election
We wanted to share some important trends we are seeing in regards to 2020 turnout, improving numbers for the Republican party’s image, new work we are doing about political ideology, as well as highlight some of the challenges facing Republican candidates this cycle. We also focus on some elements of […] Read more »
Why House Dems Shouldn’t Impeach the President
It is difficult for me to understand the argument made by many Democrats and liberals for moving forward to impeach President Trump. Whether he warrants it or not, it is the definition of futility, flies in the face of public opinion, and has the potential to undermine their ultimate goal: […] Read more »
When It Comes to the Senate, the Democrats Have Their Work Cut Out for Them
For Democrats to overcome the Republican advantage in the struggle for control of the Senate, they will need a massive turnout effort and a wave election even more powerful than the one that won them the House in 2018. … Political polarization and the partisan division that comes with it […] Read more »
Democrats Learned the Wrong Lesson From Clinton’s Impeachment
Democrats debating whether to impeach Donald Trump may be misreading the evidence from the last time the House tried to remove a president. It’s become conventional wisdom—not only among Democrats but also among many political analysts—that House Republicans paid a severe electoral price for moving against Bill Clinton in 1998, […] Read more »
The Shadow of 1998
The Democrats’ 40-seat net gain in the House last fall was the latest example of the midterm election serving as a check on the White House. Since the Civil War, there have now been 40 midterms, and the president’s party has lost ground in the House in 37 of those […] Read more »