When Senator Elizabeth Warren was asked whether she believed that the men in the 2020 presidential race have a better chance of beating Trump solely because of their gender, she answered, “I believe they may think so, but they’d be wrong. […] What the data show now is that in […] Read more »
Congress Job Approval Highest Since 2009
For a second consecutive month, Congress’ job approval rating remains elevated, at 31%. Congress last had an approval rating of 31% or better in early September 2009, during President Barack Obama’s first year in office, when he worked with Democratic majorities in Congress. … President Donald Trump’s job approval ratings […] Read more »
Democrats More Trusted on Coronavirus Response
This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,010 registered voters conducted May 11-May 14, 2020. • As Trump’s ratings hit new lows, Democrats in Congress are more trusted than Trump on handling the coronavirus response.• Americans are concerned that Republicans in Congress […] Read more »
Trump Brings in the Infantry for His War on Blue America
Even during the shared national challenge of the coronavirus outbreak, President Donald Trump is escalating his attacks on the institutions of blue America. And a growing number of other Republicans are joining him. Trump has long provoked questions about whether he respects the legitimacy of small-d democratic institutions. But in […] Read more »
Is the California special election a bellwether of things to come? The GOP hopes so
It’s morning again in America for the GOP, or at least in California today. The hard-fought special election for the state’s 25th District ended Wednesday when Democrat Christy Smith conceded the race to Republican Mike Garcia. Republicans have managed to flip a blue seat in California for the first time […] Read more »
Why 2020’s Third Party Share Should Be Lower Than 2016
Key Points• Despite — or perhaps because of — the relatively high share of the vote third party candidates received in 2016, we expect the two major parties to have a better showing in 2020.• Voters generally feel better about their major party nominees this year than they did in […] Read more »