With Tension Draining Out of the Presidential Race, Will GOP Voters Stay Home?

The drama and uncertainty that seems to have leaked out of the presidential race has found its way into the fight for control of the U.S. Senate. If you are into either electoral politics or congressional policy, the range of possible outcomes in next month’s elections is dizzying. At one […] Read more »

Democrats Gain in Georgia Senate Races as Presidential Race Remains Tied

A shift against President Trump among white college-educated voters in Georgia has imperiled Republicans up and down the ballot, according to a New York Times/Siena College survey on Tuesday, as Republicans find themselves deadlocked or trailing in Senate races where their party was once considered the heavy favorite. CONT. Nate […] Read more »

With coronavirus concerns a factor, it’s all tied up in North Carolina

Coronavirus concerns lift former Vice President Joe Biden in North Carolina while the state’s sizable evangelical and rural populations pull for President Donald Trump, producing a dead-heat contest in a state that’s backed Democratic presidential candidates just twice in the last half century. Biden has 49% support among likely voters […] Read more »

The Senate: Iowa to Leans Democratic

Key Points• We are moving the Iowa Senate race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Iowa remains a Toss-up for president.• Iowa may have replaced North Carolina as the race likeliest to decide Senate control, although North Carolina remains a very viable Democratic target despite Cal Cunningham’s (D) troubles.• We have […] Read more »

Excuse me, but is that a partisan wave building?

GOP insiders are now hoping for the best but bracing for the worst. Veteran Republicans have all but given up on Donald Trump’s reelection and are now focused on minimizing the damage down ballot. They criticize Trump’s poor messaging and salute the Democrats’ fundraising numbers, which reflect Democratic enthusiasm and […] Read more »