What had shaped up to be a fairly mild, predictable Senate cycle has become one of the hairiest in memory. To see why, let’s start with the stakes: The policy consequences of Republicans losing only a seat or two and holding onto a sliver of a majority is dramatically different […] Read more »
Trump is making Martha McSally’s life very difficult
The Trump era has forced many Republicans into frustrating situations: defending unhinged tweets, coddling a president as if he’s a toddler and forcing principled conservatives to choose between the most progressive Democratic candidacy in modern history or, well, President Trump. But Trump may have put Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) in […] Read more »
56% of Voters Say Trump Does Not Deserve Reelection
The majority of U.S. registered voters, 56%, believe President Donald Trump does not deserve to be reelected, while 43% say he does. Voters are even less likely to think “most members of Congress” deserve reelection (29%), although six in 10 say their own House member does. CONT. Justin McCarthy, Gallup […] Read more »
Want to see how the landscape is shaping up on election night? Look to North Carolina
There are a number of states that could prove to be pivotal in the presidential election. Likewise, there are a number of states that could prove to be pivotal in the fight for Senate control. There are, however, few states that could be informative of the ultimate outcome for both. […] Read more »
Battle of the suburbs
… Cities are Democratic, rural areas Republican, and the places in between, places we call suburbs, are key battlegrounds. But be careful. There is no agreed upon definition of what constitutes “the suburbs.” As is usually the case, ask different questions, get different answers, even if one is endeavoring to […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Trump gains in Ohio, Biden ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
Donald Trump holds a narrow advantage in Ohio, while voters in the three battleground states that put him over the top in 2016 prefer Joe Biden, according to Fox News statewide surveys of likely voters. Biden leads by 12 points in Michigan (52-40 percent), 5 points in Pennsylvania (50-45 percent), […] Read more »