Key Points• Georgia’s two Senate races move to Toss-up.• They may be the only two races we leave in Toss-up when we release our final election picks on Monday.• The concept of Occam’s Razor — the idea that the simplest explanation is sometimes the likeliest explanation — might be a […] Read more »
COVID surge hurts Trump in Wisconsin; Biden leads in a closer Michigan contest
A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in […] Read more »
Why the GOP hold on Texas is loosening
The huge surge of early voting in Texas’ rapidly growing cities and inner suburbs likely marks the end of unchallenged Republican dominance in America’s second largest state — a seismic shift in the nation’s electoral landscape. Even if President Donald Trump retains enough rural strength to hold Texas in next […] Read more »
With Weakness Among Hispanic Voters, Biden Trails in Texas
President Trump maintains a narrow lead in Texas, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll on Monday, as he faces a rebellion in the state’s once overwhelmingly Republican suburbs but survives with support from an unlikely ally, Hispanic voters. … A Democratic win in Texas would be an epochal […] Read more »
Susan Collins is caught in an impossible dilemma
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) seemed invincible for the past 2½ decades. … But in 2020, Collins looks deeply vulnerable for reasons that say a great deal about how her party, and American voters as a whole, are changing. … Two trends have damaged Collins. In the short term, the decline […] Read more »
How Trump is dragging down fellow Republicans
President Donald Trump’s struggles in the polls have been well documented. He entered the final debate down about 10 points to former Vice President Joe Biden and trailed in key swing states. Less discussed is that Trump has hurt Republicans’ chances of holding onto Senate control and pretty much eliminated […] Read more »