Party switchers always make news, and Kyrsten Sinema’s decision to leave the Democratic Party for the independent middle ground has sent shock waves through what was thought to be a settled Senate. … Her surprise announcement reflects what has been a largely overlooked political milestone for independents this year. The […] Read more »
The beginning of the end for Donald Trump? Probably.
… Like other political analysts, I have come to believe over the past few years that a large chunk of the GOP — maybe a third or even more — retains its allegiance to Trump, and that will not change. But over the past two midterms (2018 and 2022), the […] Read more »
Low Expectations for New Congress
Fewer than 1 in 5 Americans expect that Republican control of the House of Representatives will lead to a change for the better in Washington. In fact, a majority do not foresee this leading to much change either way. The Monmouth University Poll also finds the public is negative toward […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Americans are split over confidence in incoming House GOP majority or Biden
Americans divide almost evenly over whether they have more confidence in the newly empowered Republicans in the US House of Representatives (51%) or in President Joe Biden (49%) to deal with the major issues facing the country today, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. But asked about […] Read more »
We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024
The 2022 midterms are now in the rearview mirror, but Americans have only begun to process the ramifications on politics and government. … With all of that in mind, we’re wrapping up our FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos panel survey by looking at which issues drove Americans’ votes in the midterm election as well […] Read more »
Young voters’ enthusiasm for Democrats waned during midterms
Young voters who have been critical to Democratic successes in recent elections showed signs in November’s midterms that their enthusiasm may be waning, a potential warning sign for a party that will need their strong backing heading into the 2024 presidential race. Voters under 30 went 53% for Democratic House […] Read more »